Archived Advisories

REMNANTS OF 06E KST Advisory Number 10
KST HQ CAGAYAN DE ORO, PHILIPPINES 
Remnants of Felicia [EP062021]
0000UTC WED JULY 21 2021
...FELICIA ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AND BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
-----------------------------------------------
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 140.9W
ABOUT 995 MI...1595 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
-----------------------------------------------
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
-----------------------------------------------
There are no warnings and watches associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Felicia
-----------------------------------------------
KEY MESSAGES
-----------------------------------------------
There are currently no Key Messages for Post-Tropicla Cyclone Felicia
-----------------------------------------------
DISCUSSION
-----------------------------------------------
A small area of deep convection that flared up early this morning 
has dissipated. Since then, what's left of Felicia is just a low 
cloud swirl moving within the trade wind flow, with thin high clouds 
moving over it from the west. The initial motion is 255/14 kt. 
Felicia is moving in a hostile environment, with dry, stable 
conditions, vertical wind shear greater than 20 kt, and sea 
surface temperatures around 25 to 26C. While there may be isolated 
flare-ups of deep convection over the next couple of days, 
reintensification under these conditions is not likely. Thus, 
Felicia has been declared a post-tropical remnant low. The remnant 
circulation of Felicia should continue to spin down and the global 
models open up the circulation into a trough by the end of the week.

This is the last advisory issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane 
Center on Felicia. Additional information on this system can be 
found in the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service in Honolulu under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP and WMO header 
FZPN40 PHFO.
-----------------------------------------------
FORECAST CONE
-----------------------------------------------

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT  16/1500Z 15.0N 121.6W  110 KT 125 MPH
INIT  20/0900Z 15.9N 136.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  20/1800Z 15.5N 138.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  21/0600Z 14.9N 141.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
 36H  2INIT  21/0300Z 14.9N 140.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  21/1200Z 14.5N 143.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0000Z 13.9N 145.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  22/1200Z 13.3N 148.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  23/0000Z 13.0N 151.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
-----------------------------------------------
THIS IS THE FINAL KST ADVISORY
----------------------------------------------- 
INFORMATION FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
$$
FORECASTER PITOGO/KODOMA

Leave a comment

Trending

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Design a site like this with WordPress.com
Get started